I think the measurement at 20 weeks is not a good indicator of birth weight. Both of my son's measured 50%, so exactly averagec at their 20 week scans and both were fairly large babies (my first was 8lb 14oz and my second was 9lb 6oz). I didn't have late ultrasounds with my first, but with my second I had a couple ultrasounds in my 3rd tri because of his presentation (ended up being footling breech). At 35w he was estimated to weigh 7lb 6oz and 8lb 10oz at 37w 5d, he was born at 39w 1d and weighted 9lb 6oz, so the two latae ultrasounds were very accurate!