Joss - depends on where you are. Prices are lower here, rates are lower, but shelling out close to $400k for an older house that needs a lot of work is not affordable for the average household. You only have to look south to see how fast bubble markets can go bad. And even with economic improvements in the US, they are still not sure they've seen the bottom of the market. In your area, houses are affordable and lending rates are low, so if you can take advantage of that, it is awesome (and I'm super jealous!
) In most major cities, it hasn't been a good time to buy for a good five years. Prices are way too out of line with income. It's not sustainable and historically, has always corrected back to that magic 3.5 number. There has been massive government manipulation in the market (look at 0/40, 5/35 mortgages and super low interest rates) which has allowed a flood of buyers who would not have qualified to buy otherwise. This is great for the banks, as they are making an absolute killing in interest on those high risk loans (which are not risky for them as CMHC, which is funded by the taxpayer, insures the loan for them and assumes all the risk). It is not great for the consumer and is the biggest reason Canadians are at record high levels of household debt. Flaherty, BoC, lots of financial gurus like Gail Vaz-Oxlade - all of them have been urging Canadians to get the debt under control because most households are so close to the line when it comes to the debt they are trying to service that it will take the slightest shift upwards in rates for people to be facing defaults on their mortgages. I am unlike a lot of people in that I see real estate here in Calgary (and in our other major cities) as very risky. You can't time the market, but you can interpret data and use it to assess risk. After doing that, I agree with the more cautious voices on real estate.
So even if the markets do go up, as they usually do in the spring, I doubt it will be a permanent rise. Contrary to popular belief, real estate does not always go up. And even if it did, I am comfortable with my decision to live cheaply and rent.
If I lived where you did, I would buy, too. Because doing so wouldn't put the rest of my financial health at risk. That's been my reasoning for a long time now. I've thought a lot about it, done a lot of research, etc and at the end of the day, renting has been a great choice for us.
I think the only wrong choice is when people borrow more than they can afford and completely screw themselves just so they can have a house. And even then, I wouldn't care at all what other people did if they weren't being financed by my tax dollars through CMHC.
Sorry for the novel! Just trying to explain my reasoning.
And let me emphasize again - this is a choice that is good for
us. Everyone is different and there are lots of "right" ways to be smart with money.